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programming-examples/r/To do nonlinear regression.r

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R

# Goal: To do nonlinear regression, in three ways
# By just supplying the function to be fit,
# By also supplying the analytical derivatives, and
# By having him analytically differentiate the function to be fit.
#
# John Fox has a book "An R and S+ companion to applied regression"
# (abbreviated CAR).
# An appendix associated with this book, titled
# "Nonlinear regression and NLS"
# is up on the web, and I strongly recommend that you go read it.
#
# This file is essentially from there (I have made slight changes).
# First take some data - from the CAR book --
library(car)
data(US.pop)
attach(US.pop)
plot(year, population, type="l", col="blue")
# So you see, we have a time-series of the US population. We want to
# fit a nonlinear model to it.
library(stats) # Contains nonlinear regression
time <- 0:20
pop.mod <- nls(population ~ beta1/(1 + exp(beta2 + beta3*time)),
start=list(beta1=350, beta2=4.5, beta3=-0.3), trace=TRUE)
# You just write in the formula that you want to fit, and supply
# starting values. "trace=TRUE" makes him show iterations go by.
summary(pop.mod)
# Add in predicted values into the plot
lines(year, fitted.values(pop.mod), lwd=3, col="red")
# Look at residuals
plot(year, residuals(pop.mod), type="b")
abline(h=0, lty=2)
# Using analytical derivatives:
model <- function(beta1, beta2, beta3, time) {
m <- beta1/(1+exp(beta2+beta3*time))
term <- exp(beta2 + beta3*time)
gradient <- cbind((1+term)^-1,
-beta1*(1+term)^-2 * term,
-beta1*(1+term)^-2 * term * time)
attr(m, 'gradient') <- gradient
return(m)
}
summary(nls(population ~ model(beta1, beta2, beta3, time),
start=list(beta1=350, beta2=4.5, beta3=-0.3)))
# Using analytical derivatives, using automatic differentiation (!!!):
model <- deriv(~ beta1/(1 + exp(beta2+beta3*time)), # rhs of model
c('beta1', 'beta2', 'beta3'), # parameter names
function(beta1, beta2, beta3, time){} # arguments for result
)
summary(nls(population ~ model(beta1, beta2, beta3, time),
start=list(beta1=350, beta2=4.5, beta3=-0.3)))